A

Adventures in Capitalism

adventuresincapitalism.com · Personal blog · on HN since 2016

Adventures in Capitalism is a finance blog with bearish, contrarian takes on markets, Bitcoin, ESG, energy, and Tesla.

What HN saysHN commenters link its posts on Bitcoin as a reflexive Ponzi, oil storage trading, and energy policy risks.
15HN people shared it
4linked it in comments
12stories submitted
99story points
4 years agolast shared
2016people per year2026

Most-shared posts

  1. 1
    Bitcoin: Why This Reflexive Ponzi Scheme Will Continue
    5 people · 6 points · first shared 2020 · discussion on HN
  2. 2
    Will ESG create the next Lehman moment?
    2 people · 3 points · first shared 2022 · 2 comments on HN
  3. 3
    The Problem with Ponzis
    1 people · 79 points · first shared 2021 · 28 comments on HN
  4. 4
    SNAPageddon
    1 people · 2 points · first shared 2017 · discussion on HN
  5. 5
    The Profitless Prosperity Sector Will Collapse
    1 people · 2 points · first shared 2019 · discussion on HN
  6. 6
    When Will the Tesla Stock Promote Finally Fail??
    1 people · 2 points · first shared 2017 · discussion on HN
  7. 7
    The Woodstock of Crony Capitalism
    1 people · 2 points · first shared 2016 · discussion on HN
  8. 8
    The Profitless Prosperity Sector
    1 people · 1 points · first shared 2019 · discussion on HN
  9. 9
    Q3 Results Secured
    1 people · 1 points · first shared 2018 · discussion on HN
  10. 10
    Mall Tour 2017
    1 people · 1 points · first shared 2017 · discussion on HN
  11. 11
    Crude contango
    1 people · first shared 2020

What HN people wrote when they linked it

b0mbadilh0le · 2022-01-27
Here's an excellent article about how our damning of cheap, reliable, "dirty" energy is going to push us into a crisis that dwarfs anything in recent memory. What happens when energy isn't cheap and isn't available? https://adventuresincapitalism.com/2021/09/29/will-esg-create-the-next…
sixQuarks · 2020-04-20
Empty Oil tankers. They are charging over $300,000 per day for storage now. Some think this is the greatest trading opportunity in over a decade. https://adventuresincapitalism.com/2020/03/19/crude-contango/
noname123 · 2021-04-17
I've thought about and looked into this. I heard some brokers actually allow you to custody your bitcoins with them, so basically you're 100% hedged and have 0 margin hit when you execute this pair trade. Additionally, if you can borrow 7:1 on Portfolio Margin for this 5BTC trade for both the long and short side… it becomes a reasonable trade. The question is, can you find a broker that allows you PM on crypto and could custody (or know you have the coins and allow you to HODL the short side in the face of a face-ripper rally of the underlying??). I've also thought about doing some kind of vol arb - if I can sell calls on some optionable over-priced crypto proxies like MSTR; and then buy calls on presumably more efficient BTC options on futures on CME to neutralize the delta and gamma. Greyscale also has an offering program for accredited investors that allows you to fund and buy their GBTC shares at NAV and be able to redeem back the shares after 6 months - and capture what used to be 20-40% premium over NAV (https://adventuresincapitalism.com/2020/11/24/why-this-reflexive-ponzi… But I believe that premium returned back to a discount recently. So no edge is not there anymore. But you're 100% correct, there are so many issues exploiting inefficiencies in crypto despite that it is an emerging market. Exchange risk, risk of self-custody, lack of liquidity in derivatives. Best of luck!

Keyboard shortcuts

/Search
j kNext / previous blog
EnterOpen selected blog
vVisit the blog site
fFollow / unfollow
lSwitch grid / list view
dSwitch dark mode
g hHome
g pTop posts
g tTopics
g fFollowing
g lLiked
g yHistory
g qFAQ
EscBack / close