Tamino
tamino.wordpress.com · Personal blog · on HN since 2009
Tamino is a statistician who analyzes climate data, such as temperature records, sea level rise, and weather station data.
What HN saysHN commenters link his posts as data-based answers on sea level, El Niño and record temperatures, and the supposed global warming pause.
22HN people shared it
11linked it in comments
20stories submitted
608story points
1 year agolast shared
2009people per year2026
Most-shared posts
- 1USA Temperature: can I sucker you?4 people · 283 points · first shared 2018 · 229 comments on HN
- 2Analysis of 1981 Paper “Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide”2 people · 2 points · first shared 2016 · discussion on HN
- 3Climate data links2 people · first shared 2009
- 4Using grape harvest dates to estimate summer temperature over 650 years1 people · 258 points · first shared 2022 · 195 comments on HN
- 5Chaotic systems and randomness1 people · 31 points · first shared 2011 · 7 comments on HN
- 6Embarrassing Questions On Global Warming1 people · 17 points · first shared 2009 · 13 comments on HN
- 7[Global Warming] Skeptics: Real or Fake?1 people · 3 points · first shared 2011 · 1 comments on HN
- 8Analysis of GHCN weather station data shows no artificial warming effect1 people · 3 points · first shared 2010 · discussion on HN
- 9Global Warming 2016: Arctic Spin1 people · 2 points · first shared 2017 · discussion on HN
- 10Flippant Accusations1 people · 2 points · first shared 2015 · discussion on HN
- 11July was the global average hottest month so far1 people · 2 points · first shared 2015 · discussion on HN
- 12Oklahoma: Not OK1 people · 1 points · first shared 2015 · discussion on HN
- 13California Drought1 people · 1 points · first shared 2014 · discussion on HN
- 14Microsoft1 people · 1 points · first shared 2012 · discussion on HN
- 15Fracklahoma1 people · 1 points · first shared 2014 · discussion on HN
What HN people wrote when they linked it
ljcn · 2019-06-19
Yes, here are a few articles from Tamino's blog. Note the first one is #1 in a 7-part series
https://tamino.wordpress.com/2018/12/28/sea-level-rise-u-s-east-coast-…
https://tamino.wordpress.com/2017/07/24/boston-sea-level/
https://tamino.wordpress.com/2015/11/04/moon-over-miami-boston/
The last one (and related posts) is worth a look even though it isn't what you asked for because it discusses how an apparently small increase in sea level can lead to a surprising increase in flood frequency.
anon1385 · 2013-09-26
> is the antarctic icecap not rapidly getting larger?
To the best of our knowledge the East Antarctic Ice Sheet is gaining mass[1] due to increased precipitation and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is losing mass[2] due to acceleration of glaciers. I believe there is also an increase in Antarctic sea ice extent [3]. As far as I know these increases are not enough to offset the reduction in mass in the Arctic but I don't have a comparison to hand. Wait a few days and the IPCC report will probably have a decent summary.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_Antarctic_Ice_Sheet#Ice_mass_change…
[2] http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/12/the-heat-is-on-i…
[3] http://tamino.wordpress.com/2013/03/16/antarctic-sea-ice-gain/
lamontcg · 2023-10-05
Analysis done back in 2016, back when 2015 shattered records due to El Nino (and completely shattered the argument around a "pause" in global warming due to the El Nino spike back in 1998):
https://tamino.wordpress.com/2016/01/27/el-nino-and-the-2015-record-br…
https://tamino.wordpress.com/2016/01/29/correcting-for-more-than-just-…
EForEndeavour · 2021-07-01
nfg · 2020-02-05
You can’t just eyeball these graphs and assume the trend is linear: https://tamino.wordpress.com/2019/10/09/sea-level-acceleration-3/
See also https://tamino.wordpress.com/2019/10/14/sea-level-acceleration-denial/
jakelazaroff · 2019-07-02
They also cherry-pick data to fit their conclusions, e.g. https://tamino.wordpress.com/2018/08/08/usa-temperature-can-i-sucker-y…
sasheets · 2017-08-30
Here's a compilation of links to get you started:
https://tamino.wordpress.com/climate-data-links/
Climate science is a big subject and you should start by understanding the basics of the subject. Spencer Weart's history of climate science is a good place to start:
https://history.aip.org/climate/index.htm
Also, I see many people with strong statistics/engineering backgrounds analyzing climate data and coming to wrong conclusions because they never bothered to learn the physics. Don't be those people.
acqq · 2017-02-11
There are no graphs in the article to give you the whole context, that is, the longer-term measured climate changes. For that it helps looking at the yearly averages:
https://tamino.wordpress.com/2017/01/18/global-temperature-the-big-3/
These are averages over the whole year. The graph to consider specifically for Arctic is this one:
https://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/arctic.jpg
yourapostasy · 2016-08-24
> ...until the heat death of everything.
If further climate outcomes continue to track Hansen's thus-far correct 35-year-old predictions [1], then we've already passed some kind of tipping point and "the heat death of everything" could potentially mean Venusian-style anthropogenic cooking of Earth in some worst-case scenarios, and mass population dislocations and mega-scale environmental disruptions in milder scenarios.
If it turns out that life as we know it is exceedingly rare (and I must admit that the more we find out about exoplanets, the more disconcerted I am while realizing that the hazy possible solution space to the Fermi Paradox is becoming rather uncomfortable as the resolution grows with each passing decade), then that would be truly a tragic outcome.
[1] https://tamino.wordpress.com/2016/08/16/crystal-serenity/
chrisb · 2009-11-20
Just to comment on the often repeated claim of the unavailability of the data - try visiting:
http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php - contains all the models used in the IPCC AR4.
http://tamino.wordpress.com/climate-data-links/ - contains a huge amount of climate data.
http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/ccr/ammann/millennium/CODES_MBH.html - An independend re-evaluation of a climate reconstruction.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pubs/mann2008/mann2008.html - Full data for a late 2008 reconstruction.
Data is available - maybe part of the problem is the complexity and quantity of the data.
throwaway5752 · 2016-05-11
Are you really comfortable citing them?
Here's a discussion of the author of that post's prior work: https://tamino.wordpress.com/2014/02/13/making-up-stuff/
edit: fascinating how easy it is to be downvoted simply by pointing out the lack of credibility of AGW skeptics. On one hand, you have the overwhelming majority (97-74%) of professional scientist saying (respectively) that global warming is occuring or that it's man-made and provable with existing science. On the other hand, you have people with dubious credentials, poor ethics, and/or extraordinary conflicts of interest as paid fellow at Cato, Heartland, AEI, et al.
All of this is easily verified by simple use of a search engine. Since... just about nobody here is a professional climate researcher, I think all we can go on is the credibility of sources of information. It is not ad hominem to bring someone's motivation and prior record into consideration.