Larry Summers
larrysummers.com · Personal blog · on HN since 2015
Larry Summers, economist and former US Treasury Secretary, posts essays on macroeconomics, secular stagnation, taxes, and inflation.
What HN saysHN commenters link it for his secular stagnation argument and posts on corporate taxes and infrastructure, which they use to support or dispute points.
21HN people shared it
6linked it in comments
16stories submitted
754story points
1 year agolast shared
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Most-shared posts
- 1Response to Marc Andreessen on Secular Stagnation2 people · 44 points · first shared 2015 · 8 comments on HN
- 2Secular stagnation2 people · first shared 2016
- 3The public has a right to know how companies that pay no taxes pull it off1 people · 592 points · first shared 2020 · 403 comments on HN
- 4People in the USA no longer share a common lived experience1 people · 54 points · first shared 2019 · 24 comments on HN
- 5Disillusioned in Davos1 people · 35 points · first shared 2017 · 26 comments on HN
- 6Raising interest rates this year will threaten the Fed's major objectives1 people · 8 points · first shared 2015 · discussion on HN
- 7Covid-19 looks like a hinge in history1 people · 6 points · first shared 2020 · discussion on HN
- 8Stan Fischer1 people · 4 points · first shared 2025 · discussion on HN
- 9The case for a proper program of infrastructure spending (2017)1 people · 2 points · first shared 2019 · discussion on HN
- 10Larry Summers: The inflation risk is real1 people · 2 points · first shared 2021 · discussion on HN
- 11Secular stagnation’ even truer today1 people · 2 points · first shared 2017 · discussion on HN
- 12Larry Summers Honours Kenneth Arrow1 people · 1 points · first shared 2017 · discussion on HN
- 13Time US leadership woke up to new economic era1 people · 1 points · first shared 2015 · discussion on HN
- 14A Remarkable Financial Moment1 people · 1 points · first shared 2016 · discussion on HN
- 15Larry Summers talk at LendIt 2015 conference – crowdfunding1 people · 1 points · first shared 2015 · discussion on HN
What HN people wrote when they linked it
jganetsk · 2016-12-17
I agree with basic income, but most analyses of it are backwards.
For most of history, governments addressed unemployment by starting wars. By shipping off to war, the unemployed temporarily get a job. They either come back dead or ready to take a new job in an economy revitalized by the stimulus of government war spending.
John Maynard Keynes noticed this pattern, especially during the Great Depression and WW2, and made a brilliant suggestion: continue with these government interventions, but keep the government spending and drop the war part. We call it "Keynesian economics", but really, what Keynes invented was capitalist peace. And guess what, since then, no two countries that both had McDonald's had fought a war against each other since each got its McDonald's. [1]
We need a Keynesian boost today, not because of technological progress, but rather the contrary: the rapid technological progress of the 20th century that brought tremendous economic prosperity to humanity has finally come to a grinding halt. Let's stop denying this. The stream of lifechanging breakthrough inventions of the 20th century, from A (antibiotics) to Z (zippers), have ended. As a result, we now suffer from secular stagnation, something Keynes understood very well back then, and Larry Summers understands in the present. [2]
It's especially absurd to claim that automation is the cause of this. Automation has already upended society: it was called the Industrial Revolution and happened 200 years…
0x456 · 2021-09-15
nabla9 · 2020-10-01
Yes. This is called secular stagnation.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secular_stagnation
http://larrysummers.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/NABE-speech-Lawrenc…
PopePompus · 2019-02-25
I disagree. Not only can we no longer build large things, we are barely able to maintain the things we have. I lived in Cambridge MA during the repair of the Anderson Memorial Bridge, described here: http://larrysummers.com/2016/05/31/a-lesson-on-infrastructure-from-the… . Fixing a very modest bridge across a placid river took years, and cost far more than the inflation-adjusted original cost of the bridge (took longer than the original construction too!).
Look at NASA's marvelous manned space program. It has less manned launch capability than the agency had when the Mercury program was active. But they still spend money, doing extremely important things like sending "astronauts" to camp out on Mauna Loa and pretend they're on Mars.
ctchocula · 2017-11-08
Can you give a citation on "bipartisan support among economists"? All I have read seems to indicate economists are all in support for the other direction - that lowering corporate taxes at this moment is bad economics.
[1] http://larrysummers.com/2017/10/22/one-last-time-on-who-benefits-from-…
[2] https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-tax/corporate-rate-cuts-are-a-po…
[3] http://microeconomicinsights.org/benefits-corporate-tax-cuts-evidence-…
crdoconnor · 2016-10-13
>The savings glut is caused by ... There is not much investment happening in our economy
There is not much investment in the economy because there is not much demand. There is not much demand because of income and wealth inequality.
After all, what's the point of producing goods and services for people who can't afford them?
>http://larrysummers.com/category/secular-stagnation/
Any economics projections made by Larry Summers ought to be taken with a metric ton of salt. After all, his track record at gambling with Harvard's money is just abysmal:
http://www.alternet.org/economy/larry-summers-federal-reserve