Greyenlightenment

I'm of the tiny, minority unpopular opinion that believes you can beat the market by picking stocks,. I have done so consistently for the past decade. Pick large cap companies with huge growth, high barriers to entry, insulated from economic trends, no debt, and high profit margins. My favorites: MA, V, BABA, GOOG, FB, JNJ, GILD, HD That's not many, but these are some of the best long term investment ideas I can find. Stay away from volatile, macro-sensitive sectors like oil, materials, and retail and stick to healthcare, consumer staples, and utilities. People are getting older and wanting to live longer which is bullish for healthcare, and the web isn't going anywhere even if oil is going to $40. Or you can try an ETF linear combination http://greyenlightenment.com/?p=1540 There are many strategies that beat the market and provide as good risk adjusted returns as an index fund . Warren Buffett , btw, broke his on advice of avoiding tech by buying IBM, which has lagged the market considerably. most of the time Warren Buffett doesn't pick stocks in the traditional sense but instead gets special preferred shares that pay huge dividends and other perks. The performance of BRK.B is influenced more by the private companies like Geico and than stocks like Coke.

This again? 1k true fans, like the 10k hours rule popularized by Gladwell or the Purple Cow by Godin, etc. sounds better on paper than in practice, but there are always caveats and major survivorship bias. Getting those 1k fans is quite hard, as it turns out, maybe impossible even though it's not that many on an absolute basis. According to Kevin Kelly, a true fan is more than just a Twitter follower or a Facebook like. It's someone who is a paying customer or will refer others. https://greyenlightenment.com/2022/06/26/1000-true-fans-long-tail-grit… How do you get those 1k fans? Hard enough just getting 1000 hits to a website, 1000 people to even click a link, etc. It's like MLM. "All you need is 2 people ..and then they tell 2 people, etc."

- https://greyenlightenment.com - https://www.joelonsoftware.com - https://meltingasphalt.com - https://lukesmith.xyz/blog

> People actually think he is some alt-right figure, He's a socially conservative figure, somewhat popular with the alt-right because social conservatism is a central feature of the alt-right (it may be “alt”, but it is still “right”), though his a commitment to Western liberal (in the classic sense) democracy gets him criticism on the alt-right (which is used to democracy at least in the Western liberal form.) Example of both the praise and criticism (focussed more on the latter) from a site which self-characterizes as being within the “reactionary rationalist” subset of the alt-right: https://greyenlightenment.com/sjws-and-democracy/

"In 2014, much like 2014, we saw America only solidify its economic dominance http://greyenlightenment.com/?p=1556" Elberto34, of all the clowns you are the funniest one. ;-)

In 2014, much like 2014, we saw America only solidify its economic dominance http://greyenlightenment.com/?p=1556 The US dollar and S&P 500 has outperformed all peers US GDP growth has exceeded nearly all counties, including emerging markets (adjusted for inflation). Meanwhile Russia, EU, Australia, Canada and Japan all having problems due to falling oil and stagnation. Yields still rock bottom due to huge demand for low yielding debt America is not just pulling ahead of the rest of the world, it's running circles around it. I hate to be the bearer of good news, but America, for all its flaws, is still the envy of the world. Its fastest-growing, most innovative tech companies and its most prestigious institutions of higher learning, such as the Ivy League, Caltech and MIT, are inundated with applicants from foreigners. Foreigners also can’t get enough of America’s most expensive real estate, nor can they get enough of America’s low yielding debt. If we really were in a ‘post America’ era as the left insists we are, none of this would be happening. The US economy has hardly been in a slog, especially compared to the rest of the world. The last quarter of GDP was revised to 5% – the fastest growth since 2003.

Don't know who the author is but the blog is not new - the post archive goes back to 2014 - and the link for its predecessor blog (the "Old Site") points to a page written by someone under the nom de blog Stockcreeper ("Stockcreeper is a certified economic & stock market expert, a professional stock picker and the presiding president of the Institute of Economic Understanding.") So despite the shared themes, I guess it is not Mencius Moldbug/C Yarvin. https://greyenlightenment.com/full-archives/

This blogger is not very credible... have a sample of some of his other posts http://greyenlightenment.com/2017/12/

"It's not like the rich a consuming an increasingly large percentage of a fixed pie. https://greyenlightenment.com/the-99-vs-1-who-is-exploiting-..." They are consuming an increasing percentage of a much slower growing pie. This is a problem. Nobody is talking about enforcing equality but about avoid inequality growing even more.

Reading his recent statement here [0], I was reminded of William James's remark on J.S. Mill: "Mr. Mill's habitual method of philosophizing was to affirm boldly some general doctrine derived from his father, and then make so many concessions of detail to its enemies as practically to abandon it altogether." [0]: http://greyenlightenment.com/malcolm-gladwell-bait-and-switch/

> Political terms are hard. It ain't helping that the definition of these terms often hinges on where you are talking about something because the local context can be very different for these terms, like American Libertarianism vs European Libertarianism [0] Add to that how most people still only use the traditional left vs right axis, while imho something like the Nolan chart which also accounts for an authoritarian/libertarian axis for left and right, is a way superior model to account for the finer differences of political movements and especially parties. I guess "progressivism" suffers from a similar issue. In Germany, it's pretty much never used to describe a particular political movement, German Wiki describes it as a "countermovement to conservatism", but in very broad terms. I guess it's a synonym for "the left"? Which in the US traditionally has been mostly defined/associated with regulation, at least by US conservatives. [0] https://greyenlightenment.com/american-libertrianism-vs-european-liber…